? (Reporter) 00:00.070
easy to look at right now oil prices up about one and a half percent what are the broader implications of this for oil in particular if the US continues to blockade venezuela and seize these tankers
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 00:10.710
so in the short term it removes oil from the markets right which is helpful because we've seen the prices coming down they don't produce that much roughly a million barrels per day and they were less than one percent of exports so it's not a huge impact but it does reduce the
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 00:26.150
amount of oil over the long term if the president does get a change in leadership in venezuela which means a more friendly government that allows more investment in there then you're gonna start to see production go up venezuela used to produce three and a half million barrels
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 00:39.190
of oil per day it's got infrastructure there that it could get back to relatively quickly with foreign investment which it's going to need so ultimately it would pressure oil prices but in the short term it's a lift all right you've
? (Reporter) 00:51.590
been on with this before talking about an opposition party that's really been pushing for regime change it seems like the administration is leaning towards regime change what would that mean and what would that signal about trump would this be a trump doctrine that we could see
? (Reporter) 01:05.110
playing out well
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 01:06.230
they have specifically talked about late last month there was a national security strategy statement that was put out by the administration where they talked about renewing the monroe doctrine in the western hemisphere happened under president monroe which said the US is in
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 01:21.750
control of the western hemisphere and there should be no colonization by the europeans in in in our hemisphere he's expanded that to reflect what was also called the roosevelt doctrine and he's made it clear that the the US wants to be in control of the western hemisphere what
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 01:36.230
does that mean for venezuela we know that china has been investing in the oil industry in venezuela hezbollah is in there russia is producing arms in venezuela they the US administration clearly wants them out of there the question is what comes next the opposition the leader of
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 01:53.390
it is now in exile living in is currently in in oslo in norway after receiving the nobel peace prize what happens if they get into power or if there's a change are they the leadership does the administration strike a deal with some lower level of people underneath maduro push
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 02:13.190
maduro out and then you know decide they're gonna work with whoever 's there to try to get stability that's the question we don't know what comes next in the US administration hasn't made that clear obviously they don't want to show everybody their plans but you know so
? (Reporter) 02:25.910
what does this mean for investors this morning again we're seeing oil higher we're also seeing gold higher the gold part is a safety play about the idea of potential military action that maybe some investors see possibly playing out what other parts of the market could this
? (Reporter) 02:38.270
potentially impact outside of oil
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 02:40.710
well first of all it if there were to be a change in venezuela where there would be a more orthodox investment structure and regulatory framework you could see all kinds of things happen there they have thousands and thousands of hectares of arable land that you could produce
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 02:56.030
fruits and vegetables on massive amounts of produce that they don't do right now because they've always been so focused on oil they have gold mining there which right now is being done illegally so there's lots and lots of options and lots of lots of investor if and when there
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (CEO) 03:11.950
is a change in the leadership there that allows for a more investment friendly regime