Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 00:00.230
so does today set the stage for more records as we look to closeout twenty twenty five guy nice to have a record close here
Guy Adami (Director of Advisor Advocacy) 00:09.070
in the final days
Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 00:10.110
you said ho ho i did yeah
Guy Adami (Director of Advisor Advocacy) 00:12.190
well it appears that certain listen so today we have no more half day tomorrow right we have a full day i think on friday next week is the same type of week it's hard pressed unless some piece of news comes out where the market 's just not going to continue to levitate the old
Guy Adami (Director of Advisor Advocacy) 00:26.030
saying is don't short a dull market and that's what we're seeing so i think you're going to continue to see that it's all asset classes and quite frankly it's a soft in the bond market as well which also makes sense we'll talk about GDP yeah
Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 00:38.230
well
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 00:38.830
nominal growth is is probably north of five percent here and it there's an element on the inflation side that has to have you a little bit concerned especially in a world where we had this kind of growth and we have an accommodative fed equities should love this and and i think
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 00:53.070
in the short run the fed is your friend but i i i looked at twenty six and i think it may not be as easy as it appears now with the fed on on this side and the view that the fed is going to change become a more dovish fed i think the dynamic here around corporate profit margins
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 01:06.630
is also extraordinary i think this is what we've seen over the last couple quarters and i think we generally believe that the tailwinds are with us outside of trade tariff dynamics which are are certainly eating into some corporates but others not so much so i continue to be
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 01:21.550
impressed by the fact that for all the negativity or so it seems in terms of the headlines on the indices that semis continue to outperform i think they will make a new relative high to the market before the end of the year and i think there are opportunities in some of those
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 01:35.470
beaten up names broadcom is one where i just think a lot of that was was overdone but what's been impressive again i get back to banks i get back to the cyclical part of the economy that should reflect the kind of numbers we had today that that really have been extraordinary
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 01:50.110
citibank i mean these are no longer value plays actually these are actually ones that are expensive yeah i
Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 01:55.750
mean on top of semiconductors industrials financials they are at or close to all time highs at this point
Steve Grasso (Chief Executive Officer) 02:01.350
and wall street is trying to change the narrative if you look at them all the upgrades have been outside of tech so i should say forty of the last fifty have been outside of tech if you think that tech is going to lead again it could lead again but you need to see that coming
Steve Grasso (Chief Executive Officer) 02:17.030
back in if micron had a bad print we wouldn't have the christmas rally micron i don't want to say it was the cause of it but without it we wouldn't have had it if that makes sense i do think you're gonna see an easier fed i think the narrative changes once the year changes and i
Steve Grasso (Chief Executive Officer) 02:33.670
think we can go higher in the overall market it did
Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 02:35.550
seem that micron enabled the bulls to see the bull case right to believe in it yeah
Courtney Garcia (Senior Wealth Advisor) 02:40.670
i mean i think the bull case is still there i mean i think when you're getting this GDP of print clearly the economy is running hot and that's what people are looking for in twenty twenty six we're also looking at we are likely going to see some high refund checks next year
Courtney Garcia (Senior Wealth Advisor) 02:52.390
we're expecting fifty to fifty five billion dollars it's injected into the economy after those refunds come in next year i think was really interesting to see was how strong the consumer was and that's what we saw with the GDP report and i think something people don't give
Courtney Garcia (Senior Wealth Advisor) 03:04.470
enough credit to is how much baby boomers affect the economy they like they control like eighty four trillion dollars of net worth or something along those lines they're a lot less affected by the labor market even though people are concerned the labor market 's soft a lot of
Courtney Garcia (Senior Wealth Advisor) 03:16.550
that is being controlled by older generations who affected by that and i think you're going to see a lot of this continue into twenty twenty six and continue to see the economy do well how long
Melissa Lee (Fast Money Host) 03:24.150
though can the consumer feel bad fifth straight month of declines for consumer confidence and continue to spend i mean at some i mean yes you'll get a two thousand dollar checks on households will but that only lasts for so long some
Guy Adami (Director of Advisor Advocacy) 03:35.430
of the things they're spending on they have no choice i mean healthcare is a big component of this i mean you know i think we all agree that you know some things you have to do and obviously food costs and energy costs although subsiding a little bit i mean there's still
Guy Adami (Director of Advisor Advocacy) 03:48.630
diplomatic so they will continue to spend because they have no choice the question is should they be spending and that's a conversation we have seemingly all the time
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 03:56.710
i i i think we get back to this really difficult to analyze K shaped economy and the different pieces of the consumer that we talk about and the different places where spending is actually really holding up and and i would point to airlines that would point to certain parts of
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 04:10.430
the travel experience that would certainly you know we've talked to you know kind of top line service businesses and and they continue to do better but it's it's it's a case where this has been very perplexing for the street for the investor community to really say i mean it's
Tim Seymour (Founder and Chief Investment Officer) 04:23.270
not green light for the consumer but it is a place where this kind of growth and those people that are employed are doing quite well here
Steve Grasso (Chief Executive Officer) 04:30.870
and twenty percent of the highest income earners are doing fifty percent of the spend and sentiment indicators are what people say they feel but you have to see where they actually spend the money so i think people actually feel better with a job and they spend versus the
Steve Grasso (Chief Executive Officer) 04:46.480
sentiment