Leslie Picker (Reporter) 00:00.190
another positive day on wall street as AI stocks continue to push the market higher in SP five hundred closing at a record but our next guest sees opportunities beyond the mag seven in twenty twenty six he joins us with names that should be on your radar let's bring in new
Leslie Picker (Reporter) 00:14.950
construct CEO david trainer david so maybe we just get right to it where do you see opportunity outside of the mag seven and is it a safe bet to kind of diversify outside in a bigger way in twenty twenty six just given the returns we've seen from some of these names over the
Leslie Picker (Reporter) 00:31.550
past few years
David Trainer (CEO) 00:33.120
hi leslie yeah we think it's not just a safe bet we think it's a smart bet i mean look everything is concentrated into these very crowded trades it's been crowded for a long time we've helped clients i think do really well with some lesser known names like photronics and and
David Trainer (CEO) 00:48.790
firms like that that are AI related but not necessarily the AI popular crowd which again those are all crowded trades and so we we would definitely recommend people look to diversify away from these these winners now they've been winners yes but they've been winners for so long
David Trainer (CEO) 01:03.350
that i think it's time to look for something else if you really want to be able to outperform
Leslie Picker (Reporter) 01:06.710
OK so what is that something what do you think is maybe next year 's mag seven or mag something else
David Trainer (CEO) 01:13.070
well i don't know if there's anything going to come out of the shadows in terms of that front but i think you know when we're when you're when you're looking within the mac seven the one that we think that is the most interesting for sure is google i mean it's the only firm that
David Trainer (CEO) 01:25.270
owns its own cloud it has its AI it has all the it has its own own process or semiconductors and it generates a ton of cash flow so we think that one is going to be a winner how many other winners there might be i'm not so sure i think it's i think i see a lot of stocks you know
David Trainer (CEO) 01:41.910
whether it's mac seven or not mac seven that have been awarded valuations that assume they're going to be winners but they don't have the assets and competitive advantages that a firm like google has and i think we're going to see a lot of that flush out here in twenty twenty
David Trainer (CEO) 01:55.830
six yeah
Leslie Picker (Reporter) 01:56.790
of course alphabet up about sixty two percent over the last year are bolstered in part by that new gemini model as well as the berkshire hathaway stake in terms of just the overall posture of the market you think we are in an AI bubble do you think that ultimately deflates or
Leslie Picker (Reporter) 02:13.950
pops this is a twenty twenty six thing and what will cause it to do so
David Trainer (CEO) 02:19.550
you know leslie i think we may be past the days where we see major sort of bubble pops and corrections just because i think the the regulators the politicians understand that they can keep the masses happy when the stock market is up and that means keeping liquidity very high
David Trainer (CEO) 02:36.750
and and at hand so i don't know if anyone 's going to be willing to risk the political backlash of taking away the punch bowl so i you know we call them kind of micro bubbles where we look at a group of and we say look these are the stocks whose cash flows can somewhat
David Trainer (CEO) 02:52.790
reasonably justify the valuation and these are the stocks that can't and so i think as opposed to the whole market going down we're going to see the market just be a bit more discerning as we've already seen like for example we wrote a piece a few weeks ago called the winners
David Trainer (CEO) 03:06.270
and losers for the tech bubble or the AI bubble and you know we mentioned google as i mentioned before as a winner but you know oracle one of the ones we mentioned is a loser we can see how it is already kind of taken a bit of a stumble or more than a stumble because frankly it
David Trainer (CEO) 03:21.270
doesn't have the cash flows that google has to keep up in the race i think we're going to see more and more of that playing out because as heated as this race is in terms of stock prices and valuations it's also heated in terms of cash flow demand the amount of spending is so
David Trainer (CEO) 03:37.510
high that there's only a few companies that can remain at the table and those companies that can't continue to empty up and keep up with the spending EG oracle they're going to really struggle in twenty twenty six